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February 2014

U.S. Q4-2014 GDP growth revised down

By General

The downward revision to fourth-quarter GDP growth to 2.3% annualised, compared with the initial 3.2% estimate, was largely due to smaller positive contributions from durables consumption, net exports and inventories, whereas the positive contribution from business investment was actually revised higher. More generally, even a gain of only 2.3% is still impressive in a quarter when the Federal government shutdown resulted in a 5.6% drop in public sector spending, which subtracted more than 1.0% ppts from overall GDP growth.

 

Durable goods consumption is now estimated to have increased by a more modest 2.5% in the fourth quarter, down from the initial 5.9% estimate. With the bad weather hitting motor vehicle sales hard, we anticipate another modest gain in the first quarter. Net exports are now assumed to have added 1.0% ppt to GDP growth, rather than the initial contribution of 1.3%. Inventories added 0.1%, down from the initial 0.4% estimate.

 

The good news is that business investment increased by 7.3%, revised up from the initial estimate of a 3.8% gain. that gain helped to offset an 8.7% decline in residential investment, which was hit by the drop back in existing home sales that has reduced brokers’ commissions.

 

 

Bloomberg U.S. Financial Conditions Index

By Uncategorized

Bloomberg U.S. Financial Condition Index Feb-2014

 

The Bloomberg U.S. Financial Conditions Index, which is an overall gauge of the health of the financial and credit markets, reached an all-time high in late 2013 (the index started in 1994). This is a positive sign that financial markets have returned to solid ground after the shock of the financial crisis. Stable financial conditions help support economic growth.

(Source: Bloomberg)

Endowment Wealth Management: Number of the Day 2/26/2014

By Uncategorized

40%

The rate of obesity in preschool-age children in the U.S. dropped about 40% over the past decade, according to data from a comprehensive federal survey published Tuesday in the Journal of the American Medical Association—the latest sign that attempts to help parents improve children’s diets and exercise habits might be starting to have an effect.

(Source: Wall Street Journal)

WhatsApp’s Sequoia VC Jim Goetz explains Facebook deal in 4 numbers

By General

Sequoia Capital, the only venture firm to invest in WhatsApp, offered four numbers on Wednesday that it says explain why Facebook just agreed to pay $19 billion for the instant messaging company.

Sequoia invested $8 million in the Mountain View company’s only publicly announced venture round in 2011 and partner Jim Goetz is the only VC on its board. TechCrunch cited sources on Wednesday that said Sequoia was involved in later rounds, too, that brought total funding to about $60 million.

That would mean Sequoia could be in line to get as much as $3 billion from the deal.

Here are the numbers Goetz offered in a blog post after the sale was announced:

— 450 million: That’s how many active users WhatsApp claims, a number that Sequoia says no other company has ever reached in such a short time. More than 1 million people a day are installing the app. “Incredibly, the number of daily active users of WhatsApp (compared to those who log in every month) has climbed to 72 percent. In contrast the industry standard is between 10 percent and 20 percent, and only a handful of companies top 50 percent.”

— 32: That’s how many engineers WhatsApp has. That means each WhatsApp developer supports 14 million active users, a ratio Sequoia says is unheard of in the industry.

— 1: That’s the number of dollars per year users pay after their first trial year of using the service., with no SMS messaging charges. Sequoia says this saves the typical user about $150 a year.

— Zero: That’s how much money WhatsApp invested in marketing. “The company doesn’t even employ a marketer or PR person,” Goetz wrote in his blog. “Yet like the world’s greatest brands, it’s created a strong emotional connection with consumers. All of WhatsApp’s growth has come from happy customers encouraging their friends to try the service.”

Goetz also sais that WhatsApp founder Jan Koum’s experience as a 16-year-old emigre from Ukraine when it was part of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics helped determine how WhatsApp was developed.

“Jan’s childhood made him appreciate communication that was not bugged or taped. When he arrived in the U.S. as a 16-year-old immigrant living on food stamps, he had the extra incentive of wanting to stay in touch with his family in Russia and the Ukraine,” Goetz wrote. “All of this was top of mind for Jan when, after years of working together with his mentor Brian (Acton) at Yahoo, he began to build WhatsApp.”

(Source: Bizjournals)

U.S. Unemployment Rate by Education

By Uncategorized

US Unemployment Rate by Education

 

The U.S. unemployment rate fell to 6.6% in January, the lowest level since October 2008. The unemployment rate has been steadily falling since it peaked at 10% on October 2009. The rate of unemployment has been significantly different depending on the education level of the labor force participant. College graduates currently have an unemployment rate of 3.2%, while those with less than a high school diploma still struggle to find work.

(Sources: Strategas Research Partners, LLC, BLS)